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Warsh’s First FOMC: No Dot, No Guidance, and No Dovish Pivot
Kevin Warsh ran his first Federal Open Market Committee meeting as Fed Chair on June 16-17, and if you were expecting a victory lap for the doves, you were watching the wrong meeting. The Fed held...
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How will FED Chairman Warsh affect Rates and Inflation?
Kevin Warsh- FED Chair The Federal Reserve just made history — and not in a way anyone expected. After holding rates unchanged for a third straight meeting, the most divided Fed vote in 34 years is...
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Ben Cowan: Is the Fed Heading Toward Checkmate?
Image by Bing AI In his latest video, macro analyst Ben Cowan breaks down the most recent CPI report and what it means for the Federal Reserve, the labor market, and the broader business cycle. Here...
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Is the FED Getting Soft on Inflation?
At the conclusion of the Jackson Hole, Wyoming, FED meeting, Chairman Powell indicated that FED policy was changing. Recent FED History The Federal Reserve Act of 1977 modified the original act that...
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FED’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered his semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress on June 24th and to the Senate Banking Committee on June 25th. Powell noted that U.S. real GDP...
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FED Holds Steady at May Meeting
On May 7, 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee held the FED funds target rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, a level unchanged since December 2024. In his statement, Chairman Jerome Powell said that, while...
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FED Interest Rates
The Fed funds rate is, effectively, the price of money. When it changes, much like dropping a rock into the water, the impact ripples out in all directions.— Greg McBride, Bankrate Chief Financial...
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Can the FED Engineer a “Soft Landing”?
The ultimate dream of the Federal Reserve and those who believe in the FED’s omniscience is for them to engineer a soft landing, i.e., curbing inflation without sending the economy into a deep...
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When Can We Expect Lower FED Rates?
Why Has The FED Been Raising Interest Rates? The Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates in March 2022 in an effort to combat inflation. As of the end of July 2023, the Fed’s target rate...
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No Surprise… FED Raised Rate by 1/4%
The market was predicting a 1/4% raise in the FED Funds rate with 99% certainty and that is exactly what they got. We were wondering if because of last month’s drop in annual inflation (due primarily...
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Central Banks Respond Differently to the Banking Crisis
Central bankers don’t like surprises, so they tend to communicate among themselves in order to coordinate their response to every new crisis. And this week there was a wave of responses to the...
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Is The Fed Flashing Signs It’s Done Raising Rates?
The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday raised the target policy interest rate (the federal funds rate) to 4.75 percent, an increase of 25 basis points. With this...
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Why the Fed Is Bankrupt and Why That Means More Inflation
In 2011, the Federal Reserve invented new accounting methods for itself so that it could never legally go bankrupt. As explained by Robert Murphy, the Federal Reserve redefined its losses so as to...
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November FED Announcement Rocks Stock Market
The FED Giveth and the FED Taketh Away On Wednesday, November 2nd, the FED held its “Federal Open Market Committee meeting” and made the announcement the market has been breathlessly awaiting. As...
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Jerome Powell “Channels” His Inner Paul Volcker
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is sounding more and more like former FED Chairman Paul Volcker, who served as the chairman of the Federal Reserve from August 1979 to August 1987. Volcker is...
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Surprise, Surprise, The FED Raises Rates by .75%
At its June 15th meeting, the FED announced that it will be raising rates by ¾%. Up until last week, this would have been a big shock to the market. But despite the imposed FED silent period leading up...
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Spoiler: The FED Guaranteed To Fight Inflation… Sooner Or Later
News from the FED’s December 2021 FOMC Meeting For nine months now, here at InflationData, we’ve been saying that inflation was becoming a problem. We’ve said this even though the FED denied it and...
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Why Quantitative Easing is Inflationary… Sometimes
Quantitative Easing was initially considered inflationary but after its first usage, it didn’t appear to be. Is this always the case? Is Quantitative Easing really inflationary? Will the Quantitative...
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Why is a Little Bit of Inflation Considered Good for the Economy?
Federal Reserve Eccles Building Washington D.C. The short answer is because the U.S. Federal Reserve Board, i.e., the “FED,” says it is. The longer answer is much more complicated. To determine whether...
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FED Issues September 2021 Statement
On September 22, 2021, the Federal Reserve reported its current policy position. Currently, the FED is creating liquidity (i.e., printing money) through its Quantitative Easing (QE) program at the rate...
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