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How Low Inflation in Europe Could Affect Your Investments in the U.S.
Last December, we explained why central bankers are terrified of economies that slip into a very difficult to stop deflationary spiral. European policymakers are not yet terrified, but it is fair to...
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Poverty Matters for Capitalists
Having taken Thomas Piketty to the cleaners a few weeks back (see “Gave & Gave … and Hay”), Charles Gave now redresses the balance with regard to the issue of economic inequality in today’s...
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US Consumer Spending vs. FED Inflation Decision
The Fed will meet on the 16th and 17th of September to decide whether it’s time to normalize its accommodative monetary policy. But despite vice-chairman Stanley Fischer’s hints at an inflation...
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Pushing on a String, Velocity of Money and Money Multiplier Conspire Against...
Under certain circumstances such as high national indebtedness, fear of bad economic times or when interest rates approach zero, monetary policy becomes ineffective in enticing consumers into spending...
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FED Looks for New Ways to Crank Up Money Supply
With all the talk about “Tapering” you’d think the FED was actually considering reducing it’s money pumping. But in actuality that is not it at all. The FED is afraid that it is creating a a bubble in...
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Inflation Expectations and the FED
As inflation expectations rise the FED has less and less “wiggle room” to stimulate the economy. But how do you measure “inflation expectations”? In today’s article, Chris Ciovacco will show us. ~Tim...
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How “Excess Reserves” and the Money Multiplier Could Trigger Inflation
Banks have $2.5 trillion parked in “excess reserves”. This is money on deposit with the FED. The FED pays a miniscule amount of interest on these reserves but the banks are willing to loan it to the...
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Is the Federal Reserve Right About Inflation?
The Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve serves as the Central Bank of the United States, and whether you realize it or not, it plays an active role in the lives of every American. It makes decisions...
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July Inflation Down for 3rd Consecutive Month
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their monthly inflation report for July on August 16th. According to the BLS Annual Inflation declined for the third consecutive month. Annual...
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Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market
Many investors believe that the market follows the FED’s monetary leadership. This sounds right because the FED is the 500 pound gorilla in the market right? It has Trillions of dollars at its disposal...
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2018 Ends with More Disinflation
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their monthly Consumer Price Index report on January 11th 2019, for January 1 through December 31, 2018. Annual Inflation is Down Annual inflation in...
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Are Deflationary Forces Taking Hold Again?
From the chart below we can see that deflation was an issue in 2009 as the market eliminated billions of dollars in assets when it crashed. The FED used all the tricks in the book to combat the...
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How the FED Controls the Money Supply
When the government spends more money than it receives in taxes it has a “deficit” situation. In order to deal with this deficit, it engages in some fancy bookkeeping. The government is made up of a...
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What Impact Does Interest Rates and Inflation Targets Have on Stocks?
Why is The FED’s Targeted Inflation Rate Important in the US? Since 2012, the Fed has targeted an inflation rate of 2%. They have deemed this a healthy rate of inflation, necessary for economic growth....
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Does the FED Control Mortgage Rates?
For new home buyers, anything that increases the cost of the purchase (like rising mortgage interest rates) can negatively impact your ability to be able to afford your home. That is why everyone is...
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Will the $2 Trillion Covid-19 Stimulus Cause Inflation?
The current round of massive Corona Virus easing began Monday March 16th, 2020, with the FED buying $40 billion in Treasuries and then buying another $50 billion in Treasuries on Tuesday. By Thursday...
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What is the Federal Funds Rate?
By law banks are required to maintain a certain percentage of their assets in reserves at any given time. This money is held at the Federal Reserve bank and is called the “Reserve Requirement”....
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Fed Stimulus Packages and Uncertain Inflationary Prospects
Inflation Expectations and the Massive Fed Stimulus Inflation is loosely described as a general economic state of rising prices. In February 2020, the US inflation rate dipped from a high of 2.5% in...
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What are Central Banks?
History of Central Banking Like everyone, kings like to spend money, whether it is to wage war or to build palaces, but they often didn’t have all the money they “needed”, so they had to borrow it. To...
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FED Issues September 2021 Statement
On September 22, 2021, the Federal Reserve reported its current policy position. Currently, the FED is creating liquidity (i.e., printing money) through its Quantitative Easing (QE) program at the rate...
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